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  3. It’s a parlor game in publishing circles to speculate how long it will take

It’s a parlor game in publishing circles to speculate how long it will take

游客2023-08-24  30
问题     It’s a parlor game in publishing circles to speculate how long it will take before e-books constitute a majority of the industry’s sales in the US. But no one doubts that that is where the market is headed. Last week, the Association of American Publishers announced that in January, for the first time, monthly e-book sales had overtaken hard covers. Paperbacks remain in the lead, for now.
    E-books are by far the fastest-growing segment of the otherwise sluggish(反应迟缓的), recession-plagued publishing business. In 2010 e-book sales jumped 164% , to $441 million. "The acceleration has been quick and dramatic, and in some ways the uptake may get faster if physical outlets for books, like Borders stores, disappear faster than expected," says Michael Cader, founder and editor of trade e-newsletter Publishers Lunch.
    After Borders, the second largest bookstore chain in the country, declared bankruptcy last month, the question arose as to whether the popularity of e-books had caused its demise. While industry experts say it was only part of the reason for the Ann Arbor, Mich. -based chain’s collapse, its poor showing in the e-book arena certainly accelerated the former retailing powerhouse’s fall. In contrast, rival Barnes&Noble sells its own popular e-reader, the Nook, and has long maintained B&N. com, which features a vibrant store that has seen its e-book sales take off. Still, both chains are light-years behind Amazon, creator of the Kindle, by far the best-selling e-reader in the market.
    Despite the growing popularity of e-books, they pose a challenge for publishers. The industry still makes over 90% of its revenue from print. That means major publishers like Random House have had to maintain their print business while at the same time growing their digital side. " The trick is not that the digital isn’t profitable," says Cader. "Digital at its current level makes few or none of the costs of running a print business go away. " That means big warehouses, broad sales forces and extensive systems. The hope, of course, is that in time, digital will be cheaper to produce, but currently, publishers face a big expense in converting to digital. What’s more, publishing has always been based on economies of scale, and with a reduction of the number of paper books, printing is becoming more expensive.
    So are print books going to disappear? That’s not in the cards—at least not yet, say experts. "Formats to which lots of people are attached often take a longer time to go away," says Cader. He compares publishing to the music business, in which CD sales have dropped significantly but not ended. And books were around a long time before CDs. Also, certain genres aren’t practical as e-books. "It doesn’t make sense yet for digital cookbooks, travel books, information books and textbooks," says McQuivey. [br] According to Michael Cader, the bankruptcy of Borders______.
选项 A、could have been avoided
B、was an inevitable outcome
C、announced the end of paperbacks
D、hindered the development of e-books
答案 B
解析 细节推断题。由定位句可知，Michael Cader认为电子书的销售额激增来势迅猛，从某些方面来说，如果像博德士这样的实体书店比预期消失得更快，那么人们的接纳可能会来得更快。由此推断博德士的破产是人们预料中的事情，是一种必然的结果，因此答案为B)。A)“原本可以避免”，与文意不符，故排除；C)“宣告了平装书的终结”，从原文无法得出该推断，故排除；D)“阻碍了电子书的发展”，原文说要是像博德士这样的实体书店早点消失，人们对电子书的接受会来得更快，言外之意是博德士的破产来得更早点的话，将更有利于电子书的发展，故排除D)。
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