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  3. It’s a parlor game in publishing circles to speculate how long it will take

It’s a parlor game in publishing circles to speculate how long it will take

游客2023-08-24  34
问题     It’s a parlor game in publishing circles to speculate how long it will take before e-books constitute a majority of the industry’s sales in the US. But no one doubts that that is where the market is headed. Last week, the Association of American Publishers announced that in January, for the first time, monthly e-book sales had overtaken hard covers. Paperbacks remain in the lead, for now.
    E-books are by far the fastest-growing segment of the otherwise sluggish(反应迟缓的), recession-plagued publishing business. In 2010 e-book sales jumped 164% , to $441 million. "The acceleration has been quick and dramatic, and in some ways the uptake may get faster if physical outlets for books, like Borders stores, disappear faster than expected," says Michael Cader, founder and editor of trade e-newsletter Publishers Lunch.
    After Borders, the second largest bookstore chain in the country, declared bankruptcy last month, the question arose as to whether the popularity of e-books had caused its demise. While industry experts say it was only part of the reason for the Ann Arbor, Mich. -based chain’s collapse, its poor showing in the e-book arena certainly accelerated the former retailing powerhouse’s fall. In contrast, rival Barnes&Noble sells its own popular e-reader, the Nook, and has long maintained B&N. com, which features a vibrant store that has seen its e-book sales take off. Still, both chains are light-years behind Amazon, creator of the Kindle, by far the best-selling e-reader in the market.
    Despite the growing popularity of e-books, they pose a challenge for publishers. The industry still makes over 90% of its revenue from print. That means major publishers like Random House have had to maintain their print business while at the same time growing their digital side. " The trick is not that the digital isn’t profitable," says Cader. "Digital at its current level makes few or none of the costs of running a print business go away. " That means big warehouses, broad sales forces and extensive systems. The hope, of course, is that in time, digital will be cheaper to produce, but currently, publishers face a big expense in converting to digital. What’s more, publishing has always been based on economies of scale, and with a reduction of the number of paper books, printing is becoming more expensive.
    So are print books going to disappear? That’s not in the cards—at least not yet, say experts. "Formats to which lots of people are attached often take a longer time to go away," says Cader. He compares publishing to the music business, in which CD sales have dropped significantly but not ended. And books were around a long time before CDs. Also, certain genres aren’t practical as e-books. "It doesn’t make sense yet for digital cookbooks, travel books, information books and textbooks," says McQuivey. [br] From the first paragraph, we know that there’s a consensus on______.
选项 A、where the future book market will be headed
B、whether e-books and paperbacks can coexist
C、when e-books will dominate the publishing industry
D、how publishers can perform well in the e-book arena
答案 A
解析 细节辨认题。由定位段前两句可知，猜测多久之后电子书能占据美国出版业销售的主导地位是出版界的一个猜谜游戏。但是没有人怀疑那是市场的未来走向。由此可知，人们已经达成的共识是A)“未来图书市场的走向”，故答案为A)。B)“电子书能否与平装书共存”，虽然本段对电子书和平装书的销售情况有所提及，但是并没有提及两者能否共存，故排除；C)“电子书何时能主导出版业”，原文明确指出这种猜测是一个游戏，言外之意是很难猜测，更不用说达成共识，故排除；D)“出版商怎样能在电子书的竞争市场上表现出色”，本段未涉及，因此排除。
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