首页
登录
职称英语
When a magazine for high school students asked its readers what life would b
When a magazine for high school students asked its readers what life would b
游客
2024-02-29
8
管理
问题
When a magazine for high school students asked its readers what life would be like in twenty years. They said machines would be run by solar power. Buildings would rotate so they could follow the sun to take maxi- mum advantage of its light and heat. Walls would "radiate tight" and "change color with the push of a button". Food would be replaced by pills. School would be taught by "electrical impulse" while we sleep. Cars would have radar. Does this sound like the year 2000? Actually, the article was written in 1958 and the question was, "what will life be like in 19787?"
The future is much too important to simply guess about the way the high school students did, so experts are regularly asked to predict accurately. By carefully studying the present, skilled businessmen, scientists, and politicians are supposedly able to figure out in advance what will happen. But Can they? One expert on cities wrote: cities of the future would not be crowded, but would have space for farms and fields. People would travel to work in "airbuses", large all-weather helicopters carrying up to 200 passengers. When a person left the airbus station he could drive a coin-operated car equipped with radar. The radar equipment of cars would make traffic accidents "almost unheard of". Does that sound familiar? If the expert had been accurate, it would because he was writing in 1957. His subject was "the city of 1982".
If the professionals sometimes sound like high school students, it’s probably because future study is still a new field. But economic forecasting, or predicting what the economy will do, has been around for a long time. It should be accurate, and generally it is. But there have been some big mistakes in this field, too. In early 1929, most forecasters saw an excellent future for the stock market. In October of that year, the stock market had its worst losses ever, mining thousands of investors who had put their faith financial foreseers.
One forecaster knew that predictions about the future would always be subject to significant errors. In1957, H.J. Rand of the Bad Corporation was asked about the year 2000, "only one thing is certain" he answered, "Children born today will have reached the age of 43." [br] H.J. Rand’s prediction about the year 2000 shows that______.
选项
A、it is easy to figure out in advance what will happen
B、it is difficult to figure out in advance what will happen
C、only professions can figure out in advance what will happen
D、very few professionals can figure out in advance what will happen
答案
B
解析
此题为推断题。文章最后举了一个例子。这个例子充分说明了预测的不确定性。
转载请注明原文地址:https://tihaiku.com/zcyy/3493920.html
相关试题推荐
[originaltext]Manypeopleintheworldwalktoworkortoschool.Theyhave
[originaltext]Manypeopleintheworldwalktoworkortoschool.Theyhave
【B1】[br]【B10】[audioFiles]audio_eufm_j01_294(200910)[/audioFiles]Manymagazine
【S1】[br]【S8】A)。空格处单词位于students,之后,studies的定语,需要填入形容词。该句意为:各所大学里的各个学院的要求或许也不一样,
OverseasstudentscanapplyforadmissiontoalmostallthecoursesinBritishu
Itwasbasedon22,000questionnairessenttoformergraduatestudents______(在
Studentswhoareinterestedin______aremostUNLIKELYtotakethiscourse?[br]
Studentswhoareinterestedin______aremostUNLIKELYtotakethiscourse?[br]
[audioFiles]audio_eufm_j01_211(200910)[/audioFiles]A、SebringHighSchool.B、Mel
DevelopCollegeStudents’CreativeThinkingAbility
随机试题
TheGreatLymeDebateThere’sadebateragingoverLyme
TheFaerieQueenis______foritsvividstyleandrichcontent,inwhichtheauth
Manyoftoday’scollegestudentsaresufferingfromaformofshock.Lis
在我国卫生法律关系的主体主要包括哪些?
患者,男,20岁,左手腕部刀伤,致正中神经损伤,经手术治疗创口愈合后,以下哪项治
发展中国特色社会主义政治文明,离不开广大公民的有序政治参与。下列活动中.属于公民
患者,男,71岁,帕金森病,患者在进行康复训练时,护士要求其关节运动达到最大范围
按照计算期的长短,MA一般分为()。 ①短期移动平均线 ②中期移动平均线
在物业管理招投标活动中,招标人不得违反规定拒绝与中标人签订合同,这体现了物业管理
采用止水帷幕法防渗时应符合下列规定()。A.止水帷幕的渗透系数宜小于10x
最新回复
(
0
)