Will Robots Take Over Humans’ Jobs? Will a robot be driving your taxi in

游客2024-01-02  33

问题     Will Robots Take Over Humans’ Jobs?
    Will a robot be driving your taxi in 10 years? Probably. Will a robot have taken your job in 10 years? Possibly.
    According to new data from the Pew Research Center, techies are split about just how important robots and artificial intelligence will be to the economy and to everyday life in the year 2025.
    Around 52% of the 1, 896 people polled for a study titled "2014 Future of the Internet" — including technology industry research scientists, business leaders and technology developers — believe that robotics will not take away more jobs than it creates by 2025, meaning that increased reliance on the technology will actually be a net positive to the economy and the job market.
    The other 48% , though, think that robots will displace huge numbers of white and blue collar workers in the next 10 years, which would not only leave people unemployed but which could disrupt social order.
    "Non-skilled jobs lacking in ’human contribution’ will be replaced by automation when the economies are favorable. At the hardware store, the guy who used to cut keys has been replaced by a robot," said Robert Cannon, Internet law and policy expert. "This begs the question: What can the human contribute? The short answer is that if the job is one where that question cannot be answered positively, that job is not likely to exist. "
    Those who think that the increase in robotics will be a net negative also point out that the displacement of lower-income workers by non-human labor will vastly widen the already growing income gap, as the owners of businesses will see profit margins increase by being able to lay off their blue collar workers.
    Stowe Boyd pointed out a few ways the robots could interact with humans everyday outside of work. For one, he said, you can forget about the teenage pizza delivery boy — he will soon be replaced by a delivery robot. More salaciously, Boyd sees a future for robots in the bedroom.
    "Robotic sex partners will be a commonplace, although the source of scorn, the way that critics today bemoan selfies’ as an indicator of all that’s wrong with the world," he said.

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答案     机器人会让人类失业吗?
    10年后,机器人会开出租车载人吗?很可能。10年后,机器人会取代你的工作吗?有可能。
    皮尤研究中心(Pew Research Center)的最新数据显示,机器人和人工智能对2025年经济和日常生活有多重要,技术人员对此意见不一。
    1,896名群众投票参与了一项名为“2014互联网的未来”的研究,其中包括科技行业的研究人员、商业领袖和技术开发人员。约52%的人相信,到2025年,机器人为人类创造的岗位肯定比它夺去的工作多,这就意味着对科技越来越依赖实际上对经济和就业市场是一大利好。
    然而,另外48%的人则认为,在未来10年里,机器人将取代大量的白领和蓝领工人,这不仅会导致人们失业,而且会扰乱社会秩序。
    “在经济形势良好的情况下,非技术类工作‘因缺失人的贡献因素’将被自动化技术取代。五金店里以前由人配钥匙的工作已经被机器人所取代。”互联网法律与政策专家罗伯特-坎农表示,“问题是:人类可以贡献什么?简单回答就是,在某项工作中,如果体现不出人的积极贡献,那么该工作就不可能存在下去。”
    那些认为运用机器人技术越来越多只会带来负面效果的人也指出,由非人类的劳动力代替低收入工人,会使得已经扩大的贫富差距愈演愈烈,因为公司老板会从解雇蓝领工人中看到利润率的增加。
    斯托-博伊德指出,除了工作之外,机器人每天还能以其他几种方式与人类互动。首先,他表示,你将再也见不到送披萨外卖的小伙子了——他很快会被外卖机器人取代。博伊德甚至认为,更色情的一面是,未来机器人将进入人类的卧室。
    他说道:“机器人性伴侣将是司空见惯的事,虽然这会遭人鄙视,但正如当今批评家们所哀叹的,‘自拍’正是世界变得不正常的指示器。”

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