首页
登录
职称英语
Not so long ago, prediction markets (市场预测) were being considered as a fanta
Not so long ago, prediction markets (市场预测) were being considered as a fanta
游客
2023-09-01
68
管理
问题
Not so long ago, prediction markets (市场预测) were being considered as a fantastic new way to forecast everything from the completion date of a vital project to a firm’s annual sales. But although they have spread beyond early-adopting companies in the technology industry, they have still not become mainstream management tools. Even crazy advocates admit much remains to be done to convince doubtful managers of their value. "It’s still a pretty blessing business, " says Leslie Fine of CrowdCast, one of the firms that provide trading platforms for companies keen to pool the collective wisdom of their employees.
Prediction markets work by giving people virtual trading accounts that allow them to buy and sell "shares" that correspond to a particular outcome. Shares in an outcome that is considered more likely to occur then trade at a higher price than those that represent a less likely outcome. This provides a way to approach the tacit (默许的) knowledge that exists in companies, especially ones that have many different divisions or offices.
Koch Industries, an American company in a range of businesses including chemicals, fertilizers and commodity trading, has been running prediction markets for the past nine months involving about 200 of its staff from different areas. The group, which has revenues of some $100 billion, has launched contracts on, among other things, the future prices of raw materials used in its chemicals division and the likelihood of bank nationalizations. Koch says the results so far have been pretty accurate compared to actual outcomes, but stresses that markets are complementary to other forecasting techniques, not a substitute for them.
A big obstacle facing managers using prediction markets is getting enough people to keep trading after the novelty has worn off. Many firms use gaming-style leader boards to encourage internal competition, or offer modest prizes to the most successful traders. Lloyds TSB, a bank, launched a market in which participants identify the best new ideas by trading in a currency called Bank Beanz, which can then be exchanged for cash--a scheme the bank’s head of innovation calls "an exceptional motivator".
Another reason prediction markets failed is that employees cannot see how the results are used, so they lose interest. Wells Fargo, a big bank that has been running internal markets for over a year to identify ways to improve service to some corporate customers, says its most effective tests took place in areas where managers could do something with their findings, making staff feel that trading was worthwhile.
Bosses may also be wary of relying on the judgments of non-experts. Yet many pilot projects run so far have shown that junior staff can often be surprisingly good forecasters. Perhaps the best way to find out when prediction markets will finally take off is to ask your employees--using a prediction market. [br] Why does the author give the example of Lloyds TSB in the fourth paragraph?
选项
A、Because it shows many firms are using a gaming-style.
B、Because it is regarded as a motivator by the head of innovation.
C、Because it shows markets enable participants to give new ideas.
D、Because it is an innovative attempt for the bank.
答案
A
解析
推断题。由定位句可知,很多公司在采用竞赛的方式来鼓励公司内部竞争,或者给最成功的员工提供小额奖励。接着作者便举了Lloyds TSB的例子,可见作者是想解释自己前一句提到的观点,A符合题意。
转载请注明原文地址:https://tihaiku.com/zcyy/2976075.html
相关试题推荐
[originaltext]Inorderforachemicaltobeconsideredadrug,itmusthaveth
[originaltext]Inorderforachemicaltobeconsideredadrug,itmusthaveth
Notsolongago,predictionmarkets(市场预测)werebeingconsideredasafanta
Notsolongago,predictionmarkets(市场预测)werebeingconsideredasafanta
Notsolongago,predictionmarkets(市场预测)werebeingconsideredasafanta
Notsolongago,predictionmarkets(市场预测)werebeingconsideredasafanta
[originaltext]JaimeEscalantewasconsideredoneofthebestteachersinth
[originaltext]JaimeEscalantewasconsideredoneofthebestteachersinth
[originaltext]JaimeEscalantewasconsideredoneofthebestteachersinth
[originaltext]JaimeEscalantewasconsideredoneofthebestteachersinth
随机试题
我们也不应该忘记,广告给我们的钱袋作出了积极的贡献。没有这笔收入来源,报纸、商业电台和电视公司就不能生存。我们花很少的钱就能买到一份日报,或者能够欣赏如此
2009wastheworstyearfortherecordlabelsinadecade.【C1】______was2008
Whathappenswhenonestudenthurtsanother’sindividualrights?Standardsa
A.-896.3kJ·mol-1 B.+937.4kJ·mol-1 C.-3
下列不属于毛果芸香碱的药理作用的是A.眼内压减低 B.胃肠道平滑肌收缩 C.
现金的( )随现金持有量的增加而下降,随现金持有量的减少而上升。A.重置成本
血栓前状态不能反映A.血管内皮细胞受损B.血小板和白细胞功能亢进C.血液黏度增加
个人投资者作为询价对象应当具备的条件包括()。A:3年以上投资经验B:5年以上
政府对价格的管制,主要是为了解决()等问题。 A.行政垄断B.自然垄断
电话快报的内容包括()。A.事故发生单位的名称、地址、性质 B.事故的简要经
最新回复
(
0
)